Moscow Liga Pro Odds, Picks: Breaking Down the Evening Table Tennis Slate

One PPP (ping pong choose) per day simply wasn’t slicing it. The individuals have been begging for extra! (Actually no person has requested me to do that).

With that stated, I went forward and broke down the stats for all 12 gamers within the Four p.m.-to-6:30 p.m. ET slate to seek out the place the worth lies (if there’s any) for every match. That is simply, like, one out of 4 mini-slates on the day within the Moscow Liga Professional, by the way in which.

I did this the opposite night time for an off-the-cuff midnight-to-Three a.m. slate and had success so why not give it a whirl.

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Units Per Match Differential (Previous 50 matches until famous)

  • Kutuzov: +1.Four
  • Shirokov: +Zero.94
  • Smirnov: +Zero.48
  • Abramov: +Zero.44 (27 matches)
  • Petrov: +Zero.Three
  • Shagarov: +Zero.28
  • Chentsov: +Zero.22 (32 matches)
  • Volkov: +Zero.10
  • Menshikov: +Zero.08
  • Ermilov: -Zero.12
  • Maksakov: -Zero.25 (12 matches)
  • Lyfenko: -1.82

A number of so-so gamers on this group, with Kutuzov actually protruding because the cream of the crop. Then you’ve Noah Lyfenko, who has been so rattling unhealthy that I’m not seeing any odds for his matches. He’s on a 25-match shedding streak …

Replace: Lyfenko has been scratched from all three of his matches and been changed by Valery Ivanov (+Zero.62)

Matches & Picks

Smirnov vs. Volkov

Four p.m. ET

  • Smirnov: -145
  • Volkov: +112

With a set differential of practically +Zero.5, Igor Smirnov has been the third-best participant on this group. Aleksandr Volkov has been a hair above common at +Zero.10, however has been higher as of late. Each gamers have had very comparable latest performances, posting an identical data since Might 1st.

Within the H2H division, issues have been pretty shut just lately, however Smirnov has a 19-9 document total towards Volkov with a lofty +Zero.78 set differential. With that in thoughts, laying the juice is the way in which to go right here.

Kutuzov vs. Menshikov

Four p.m. ET

  • Kutuzov: -185
  • Menshikov: +140

Oleg Kutuzov, the king of this group, is understandably a strong favourite vs. the middling Andrey Menshikov. The one cause he’s not a much bigger favourite is as a result of he has a 17-18 document vs. Menshikov courting all the way in which again to April 12, although he’s 6-1 of their previous 7 bouts.

Kutuzkov’s odds recommend he’ll win ~65% of the time. You possibly can resolve for your self if you wish to lay the juice. I might say it’s both that or maintain off, as +140 isn’t fairly sufficient to fade the new hand.

Abramov vs. Shirokov

Four p.m. ET

  • Abramov: -145
  • Shirokov: +112

Based mostly on the set differentials, this may occasionally not make sense. Nevertheless, Shirokov has really performed poorly as of late. He took a four-day break and is 5-10 since returning on Might 2nd.

They’ve performed one another 4 occasions, splitting the matches and posting an equal quantity of units. All of these have come since Shirokov’s return.

Despite the fact that he’s performed poorly since returning, Shirokov has proven he can deal with Abramov. Give me the plus-money.

Petrov vs. Chentsov

Four:30 p.m. ET

  • Petrov: -175
  • Chentsov: +134

Not a lot of an angle that I can discover right here. Chentsov has a restricted pattern dimension to go off of and the 2 have performed towards each other simply 4 occasions, with Petrov taking three matches.

Maksakov vs. Ermilov

Four:30 p.m. ET

  • Maksakov: -175
  • Ermilov: +134

Not a lot doing right here, both. Maksakov has solely performed a dozen matches to date and is 6-6. Not nice, however from what I’ve seen, loads of the newcomers have began off with horrendous shedding streaks. Breaking even out of the chute is definitely promising.

Lyfenko vs. Shagarov

Four:30 p.m. ET

If you’ll find odds for any Lyfenko matches, you must in all probability simply go forward and fade him. Like I stated, a 25-match shedding streak and he hasn’t even been shut in these. Since Might 1, he’s Zero-20 with simply Zero.5 units per match.

Chentsov vs. Shirokov

5 p.m. ET

  • Chentsov: -240
  • Shirokov: +180

Due to Chentsov’s Four-Zero H2H document, all prior to now couple of days, he’s the sizable favourite over Shirokov regardless of the latter’s higher total play. I’m going to carry off on this one.

Erlimov vs. Menshikov

5 p.m. ET

  • Erlimov: +134
  • Menshikov: -175

Holding off right here. Menshikov is the marginally higher participant and has a 12-9 document vs. Erlimov. If something, I might in all probability take Erlimov, particularly if his value will get a bit higher earlier than … no matter you name the beginning of a ping pong match.

Smirnov vs. Lyfenko

5 p.m. ET

Petrov vs. Abramov

5:30 p.m. ET

  • Petrov: +265
  • Abramov: -375

Lofty odds for such a small hole in my in-house metrics, eh? That will probably be due to Abramov’s 2-Zero document vs. Petrov.

Nevertheless, I wouldn’t weigh that tiny pattern dimension that closely. Petrov has posted a formidable +Zero.Eight SPM totally different since Might 1st and is means too good to go up at +265.


Shagarov vs. Volkov

5:30 p.m. ET

  • Shagarov: +126 
  • Volkov: -165

Volkov has an 18-Eight H2H document vs. Shagarov, although Shagarov has gained 4 of the previous six. There’s a few +Zero.6 SPM hole between the 2 because the starting of Might in Volkov’s favor.

Holding off on this one.

Maksakov vs. Kutuzkov

5:30 p.m. ET

  • Maksakov: +265
  • Kutuzov: -375

Maksakov’s performed 12 occasions thus far and two of them have been convincing losses to Kutuzov. I’m not laying the -375, however actually not taking a shot on the inexperienced Maksakov right here.

Abramov vs. Chentsov

6 p.m. ET

  • Abramov: -115
  • Chentsov: -115

Our first choose ’em of the day! Each have performed an identical quantity of matches within the MLP to date, with Abramov posting the marginally higher numbers. Chentsov, nonetheless, is 5-Four in H2H matches. No edge available right here.

Kutuzov vs. Ermilov

6 p.m. ET

  • Kutuzov: -240
  • Ermilov: +180

When it comes to past-50-match kind, Kutuzov blows Ermilov away. The 2 have had a ton of H2H expertise, although, and Ermilov has a 25-23 edge. Kutuzov, being as scorching as he’s, has gained seven of their previous 10 matches.

I’m holding off right here, however must say to take Ermilov should you have been to wager this match.

Volkov vs. Lyfenko

6 p.m. ET

Menshikov vs. Maksakov

6:30 p.m. ET

  • Menshikov: +134
  • Maksakov: -175

Maksakov has little or no expertise, however has gained each H2H matches towards Menshikov.

There’s not sufficient information for me to wager on this, however in all probability wouldn’t fade Maksakov right here given his strong begin to his profession.

Shagarov vs. Smirnov

6:30 p.m. ET

  • Shagarov: -110
  • Smirnov: -120

Very comparable statistics, very comparable H2H document (11-10, Smirnov). Holding off right here.

Shirokov vs. Petrov

6:30 p.m. ET

Unsure why that is off the board.

Choose Abstract

  • Smirnov -145 over Volkov
  • Shirokov +112 over Abramov
  • Petrov +265 over Abramov

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